据路透社12月18日报道,国际能源署(IEA)周二表示,由于亚洲经济增长抵消了欧洲和美国的疲弱需求,预计到2024年,全球煤炭需求将保持稳定。
过去两周,来自190多个国家的代表在马德里举行会议,试图制定出符合2015年《巴黎气候协议》的规则,该协议要求到2050年真正结束燃煤发电。
IEA表示,尽管近几十年来低碳燃料不断增长,但现实情况是,煤炭仍然是全球能源市场的主要燃料。当今世界的煤炭消费量比2000年高出65%。
据该机构预测,到2024年,世界煤炭需求将以0.5%的复合年增长率增长,到2024年将达到56.24亿吨。
据IEA预测,印度的煤炭需求预计将有所增加,预计将以每年4.2%的速度增长,到2024年,达到5.85亿吨。
IEA报告体现出政府、企业和投资者对煤炭、石油和天然气使用前景的预期。但环保组织和一些金融机构也批评该机构低估了世界向可再生能源转变的速度。
摘译自 路透社
原文如下:
IEA: Global Coal demand will remain stable by 2024
global coal demand is expected to remain stable by 2024 as growth in Asia offsets weak demand in Europe and the United States, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said Tuesday.
Over the past two weeks, negotiators from more than 190 countries have met in Madrid to try to work out rules to meet the 2015 Paris climate agreement, which calls for the actual end of coal-fired power by 2050.
Despite the growth of low-carbon fuels in recent decades, the reality is that coal remains the main fuel in the global energy market, IEA said. Coal consumption in the world today is 65 per cent higher than in 2000.
According to IEA, world coal demand is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 0.5 per cent by 2024 and reach 5.624 billion tons of standard coal by 2024.
Demand in India is expected to increase, with demand growing at an annual rate of 4.2 per cent by 2024 and reaching 585 million tonnes of standard coal by 2024, according to IEA.
The IEA report shaped the expectations of governments, companies and investors about the prospects for the use of coal, oil and gas. But the agency has also been criticized by green groups and some financial institutions for underestimating the speed of the world's shift to renewable energy.
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